thoughts on week 5

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Here are any thoughts i have on the games I have a slight lean towards, not saying i'd play them but just posting thoughts.

Arizona +7 vs. Dallas

Dallas may be looking ahead a bit to Philly in Week 6, i think they are also playing a little over their head the past 2 games. This team is a 7 or 8 win team and laying 7 is just too much for me. Especially for a team with the offense of the Cowboys. I know the Cards looked like shit against the Rams but they were coming off a hugh upset win and the Rams were coming off a bad loss. I see a Cowboys victory here but 7 is just too much.

Probably would lay off but if had to take a side Arizona +7.


Miami at the Giants

I would really love the Giants if Miami didn't have a bye too. Both teams have had two weeks to prepare so the only thing i see is a high scoring game.

Lean towards over 38

Minnesota at Atlanta (+5 SIA)

I really like Atlanta is this spot. I just see it as a good position for them. Minnesota may be a little over confident coming into this game and they face a team that needs a W. I really think if you would have took the Culpepper injury out of the 49ers game and he played, the 49ers win. The injury just focused the Viks a little more and they played over their heads in making up for his absence. I see it coming back to earth a bit this week.

Play is Atlanta +5 and maybe ML

New Orleans +7 vs Carolina

Another good spot for a team coming off an embarassing National TV loss. The Panthers have AFC powerhouse Colts ahead and may look ahead a bit. I just see New Orleans giving a better effort than Sunday (can't be much worse). I think this is a tight ballgame where the Dog covers but may not win outright. With Carolina's ball control it's tough to lay 7 (although they did cover last week). I see Deuce haveing a big game and it being tight at the end.

Tennessee at New England (+1.5)

Great spot for the Pats coming off a loss adn the Titans coming off a big W. Titans got outgained in that game and basically won it on big plays. Second straiht road game for the Titans and just a bad spot.

Play Pats ML

Not much of an opinon on the other games but just an analysis of my Birds vs Skins game

I really think the Birds win this game but 6 is too much to lay for me. We've feasted of the Skins laszt year b/c of our nasty secondary but we proably won't have anybody back this week which makes it real tough. I jsut see the Birds controlling this game and running the ball 30+ times (as tough as that seems to Birds fans). The big reason I would not lay the 6 is b/c this game has backdoor cover all over it with Ramsey marching the Skins down the field on our young secondary for a score at the nd of the game (see Bledsoe last week). I think Johnson will have a great gameplan in store b/c he knew for a whole week he'd be without Vincent. Last week they say they had to throw out 1/4 of their package once they lost Vincent. Offensively, i see the Birds just pouding the ball for once b/c they need to keep that D off the field.

Comments and analysi welcome
 

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